Developing models to predict storm surges

Science Daily  September 8, 2020
To develop the models researchers at the University of Central Florida linked large-scale climate variability events, such as El Niño, to variability in storm surge activity. They tested the models by having them predict past storm surge variability and compared their predictions with what actually occurred. The results indicated that the models matched the overall trends and variability of storm surge indicators for almost all coastal regions of the U.S during both the tropical and extra-tropical storm seasons. According to the researchers there is some capability in predicting storm surge variability over inter-annual to decadal time scales, however there in no modeling framework to use in an operational way or for making important decisions based on the results yet…read more. TECHNICAL ARTICLE

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