New tool to predict the global spread of dengue

Science Daily  December 4, 2019
According to the World Health Organisation, around half the world’s population is at risk of contracting dengue. International travelers significantly contribute to dengue’s rapid and large-scale spread by importing the disease from endemic into non-endemic countries. Researchers in Australia consider international air travel volumes to construct weighted networks, representing passenger flows between airports. They calculate the probability of passengers being infected with dengue which depends on the destination, duration and timing of travel. The findings shed light onto dengue importation routes and reveal country-specific reporting rates that have been until now largely unknown. The research is highly beneficial for public health authorities to strategically allocate the often limited resources to more efficiently prevent the spread of dengue…read more. Open Access TECHNICAL ARTICLE

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