For how long will the USA remain the Nobel Prize leader?

Phys.org   May 10, 2018
According to a researcher in Germany since first being awarded in 1901, most Nobel Prizes for science have gone to the U.S., the United Kingdom, Germany and France. According to his analysis the Nobel Prize productivity in these countries is primarily determined by two factors: a long-term success rate, and periods during which each country has been able to win an especially large number of Nobel Prizes. The U.S. era is approaching its end, states the report. Since its zenith in the 1970s, U.S. Nobel Prize productivity has already declined by a factor of 2.4. A further decline is foreseeable. Their model predicts that starting in 2025, the productivity of the U.S. will be below that of Germany, and from 2028, below that of France as well…read more. Open Access TECHNICAL ARTICLES 1  2