Researchers take aim at weather forecasters’ biggest blind spot

Phys.org  August 29, 2023 A team of researchers in the US (Stevens Institute of Technology, NOAA) evaluated spatiotemporal variability of deterministic and probabilistic precipitation nowcasting models’ performance over the greater New York City area. They assessed five deterministic and two probabilistic nowcasting methods using Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor data from 2014 to 2022. Three lead times of 2, 4 and 6 h were considered. LINDA-P had the best average Pearson’s correlation of 0.87 at the first step and 0.47 at the last one and the longest 80 min average decorrelation times. Its Mean Absolute Error (MAE) was four times lower in winter […]